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Eurovision 2015 odds predictions

The Bookmakers predictions were correct

We have shown lots of Eurovision odds from bookmakers for Eurovision Song Contest 2015. Were the bookmakers right about the results, and can the bookmakers predict a valid result?

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We have continuously updated the different bookmaker's odds on Eurovision Song Contest 2015. Did the bookmakers predictions match the results?

The bookmakers were in fact very precise in their predictions. In the Grand Final they had 7 songs 100% correct (all top-5), and in each of the two Semi-finals they predicted the 9 out of 10 qualifiers.

Grand Final



  • Odds Eurovision Song Contest 2015
  • 7 songs were 100% correct: Top-5 + Norway (8) + Armenia (16)
  • 16 songs were almost correct (hit ratio over 85%)
  • 3 songs didn't match at all (hit ratio under 50%): Spain (21/12), UK (24/15), Montenegro (13/26)

PlaceCountrySong / ArtistBookie
rank
Bookie
hit ratio ¹
1Flag of Sweden 100%
2Flag of Russia 100%
3Flag of Italy 100%
4Flag of Belgium 100%
5Flag of Australia 100%
6Flag of Latvia 67% 
7Flag of Estonia 83% 
8Flag of Norway 100%
9Flag of Israel 90%
10Flag of Serbia 57% 
11Flag of Georgia 79% 
12Flag of Azerbaijan 91%
13Flag of Montenegro 50%
14Flag of Slovenia 92%
15Flag of Romania 75% 
16Flag of Armenia 100%
17Flag of Albania 81% 
18Flag of Lithuania 78% 
19Flag of Greece 88%
20Flag of Hungary 89%
21Flag of Spain 25%
22Flag of Cyprus 84% 
23Flag of Poland 92%
24Flag of United Kingdom 40%
25Flag of France 86%
26Flag of Austria 92%
27Flag of Germany 100%
¹ Hit-ratio: The percentage deviation between the bookmaker's rank and the songs placement.
The odds were collected right before the Grand Final started.


Semi-final 1




PlaceCountrySong / ArtistBookie
rank
Bookie
correct
1Flag of Russia  
2Flag of Belgium  
3Flag of Estonia  
4Flag of Georgia  
5Flag of Romania  
6Flag of Greece  
7Flag of Armenia  
8Flag of Hungary  
9Flag of Serbia  
10Flag of Albania  
11Flag of Moldova  
12Flag of Belarus  
13Flag of Denmark  
14Flag of Netherlands  
15Flag of FYR Macedonia  
16Flag of Finland  
The bookmakers had odds on which countries from Semi-final 1 would qualify for the Grand Final
The odds were collected right before the Semi-final 1 started.


Semi-final 2




PlaceCountrySong / ArtistBookie
rank
Bookie
correct
1Flag of Sweden  
2Flag of Latvia  
3Flag of Israel  
4Flag of Norway  
5Flag of Slovenia  
6Flag of Cyprus  
7Flag of Lithuania  
8Flag of Poland  
9Flag of Montenegro  
10Flag of Azerbaijan  
11Flag of Malta  
12Flag of Ireland  
13Flag of Czech Republic  
14Flag of Portugal  
15Flag of Iceland  
16Flag of San Marino  
17Flag of Switzerland  
The bookmakers had odds on which countries from Semi-final 2 would qualify for the Grand Final
The odds were collected right before the Semi-final 2 started.



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Verka Serduchka