The Bookmakers predictions of Eurovision 2015 were correct

We have continuously updated the different bookmaker's odds on Eurovision Song Contest 2015. Did the bookmakers predictions match the results?

The bookmakers were in fact very precise in their predictions. In the Grand Final they had 7 songs 100% correct (all top-5), and in each of the two Semi-finals they predicted the 9 out of 10 qualifiers.

Grand Final

• Odds Eurovision Song Contest 2015
• 7 songs were 100% correct: Top-5 + Norway (8) + Armenia (16)
• 16 songs were almost correct (hit ratio over 85%)
• 3 songs didn't match at all (hit ratio under 50%): Spain (21/12), UK (24/15), Montenegro (13/26)

Place			Country	Song / Artist	Bookie rank			Bookie ¹ hit ratio
1		Sweden	Heroes Måns Zelmerlöw	1		100%
2		Russia	A Million Voices Polina Gagarina	2		100%
3		Italy	Grande Amore Il Volo	3		100%
4		Belgium	Rhythm Inside Loïc Nottet	4		100%
5		Australia	Tonight Again Guy Sebastian	5		100%
6		Latvia	Love Injected Aminata Savadogo	9		67%
7		Estonia	Goodbye to Yesterday Elina Born & Stig Rästa	6		83%
8		Norway	A Monster Like Me Mørland & Debrah Scarlett	8		100%
9		Israel	Golden Boy Nadav Guedj	10		90%
10		Serbia	Beauty Never Lies Bojana Stamenov	7		57%
11		Georgia	Warrior Nina Sublatti	14		79%
12		Azerbaijan	Hour Of The Wolf Elnur Hüseynov	11		91%
13		Montenegro	Adio Knez	26		50%
14		Slovenia	Here for You Maraaya	13		92%
15		Romania	De La Capăt / All Over Again Voltaj	20		75%
16		Armenia	Face The Shadow Genealogy	16		100%
17		Albania	I'm Alive Elhaida Dani	21		81%
18		Lithuania	This Time Monika & Vaidas	23		78%
19		Greece	One Last Breath Maria Elena Kyriakou	17		88%
20		Hungary	Wars For Nothing Boggie	18		89%
21		Spain	Amanecer Edurne	12		25%
22		Cyprus	One Thing I Should Have Done John Karayiannis	19		84%
23		Poland	In The Name Of Love Monika Kuszyńska	25		92%
24		United Kingdom	Still in Love with You Electro Velvet	15		40%
25		France	N’oubliez pas Lisa Angell	22		86%
26		Austria	I Am Yours The Makemakes	24		92%
27		Germany	Black Smoke Ann Sophie	27		100%

¹ Hit-ratio: The percentage deviation between the bookmaker's rank and the songs placement.
The odds were collected right before the Grand Final started.

Semi-final 1

• Odds Eurovision 2015 Semi-final 1
• Bookmakers predicted the 9 out of 10 songs that would qualify
• Bookmakers predicted Belarus to qualify instead of Serbia

Place			Country	Song / Artist	Bookie rank			Bookie correct
1		Russia	A Million Voices Polina Gagarina	1
2		Belgium	Rhythm Inside Loïc Nottet	7
3		Estonia	Goodbye to Yesterday Elina Born & Stig Rästa	2
4		Georgia	Warrior Nina Sublatti	5
5		Romania	De La Capăt / All Over Again Voltaj	3
6		Greece	One Last Breath Maria Elena Kyriakou	4
7		Armenia	Face The Shadow Genealogy	6
8		Hungary	Wars For Nothing Boggie	10
9		Serbia	Beauty Never Lies Bojana Stamenov	13
10		Albania	I'm Alive Elhaida Dani	8
11		Moldova	I Want Your Love Eduard Romanyuta	15
12		Belarus	Time Uzari & Maimuna	9
13		Denmark	The Way You Are Anti Social Media	12
14		Netherlands	Walk Along Trijntje Oosterhuis	16
15		North Macedonia	Autumn Leaves Daniel Kajmakoski	14
16		Finland	Aina Mun Pitää Pertti Kurikan Nimipäivät	11

The bookmakers had odds on which countries from Semi-final 1 would qualify for the Grand Final
The odds were collected right before the Semi-final 1 started.

Semi-final 2

• Odds Eurovision 2015 Semi-final 2
• Bookmakers predicted the 9 out of 10 songs that would qualify
• Bookmakers predicted Iceland to qualify instead of Montenegro

Place			Country	Song / Artist	Bookie rank			Bookie correct
1		Sweden	Heroes Måns Zelmerlöw	1
2		Latvia	Love Injected Aminata Savadogo	5
3		Israel	Golden Boy Nadav Guedj	6
4		Norway	A Monster Like Me Mørland & Debrah Scarlett	2
5		Slovenia	Here for You Maraaya	4
6		Cyprus	One Thing I Should Have Done John Karayiannis	7
7		Lithuania	This Time Monika & Vaidas	8
8		Poland	In The Name Of Love Monika Kuszyńska	10
9		Montenegro	Adio Knez	11
10		Azerbaijan	Hour Of The Wolf Elnur Hüseynov	3
11		Malta	Warrior Amber	12
12		Ireland	Playing With Numbers Molly Sterling	15
13		Czechia	Hope Never Dies Marta Jandová & Václav Noid Bárta	13
14		Portugal	Há um mar que nos Separa Leonor Andrade	16
15		Iceland	Unbroken María Ólafsdóttir	9
16		San Marino	Chain Of Lights Michele Perniola & Anita Simoncini	17
17		Switzerland	Time To Shine Mélanie René	14

The bookmakers had odds on which countries from Semi-final 2 would qualify for the Grand Final
The odds were collected right before the Semi-final 2 started.