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Eurovision 2015 odds predictions
BOOKMAKERS

The Bookmakers predictions were correct

We have shown lots of Eurovision odds from bookmakers for Eurovision Song Contest 2015. Were the bookmakers right about the results, and can the bookmakers predict a valid result?

We have continuously updated the different bookmaker's odds on Eurovision Song Contest 2015. Did the bookmakers predictions match the results?

The bookmakers were in fact very precise in their predictions. In the Grand Final they had 7 songs 100% correct (all top-5), and in each of the two Semi-finals they predicted the 9 out of 10 qualifiers.

Grand Final

  • Odds Eurovision Song Contest 2015
  • 7 songs were 100% correct: Top-5 + Norway (8) + Armenia (16)
  • 16 songs were almost correct (hit ratio over 85%)
  • 3 songs didn't match at all (hit ratio under 50%): Spain (21/12), UK (24/15), Montenegro (13/26)
PlaceCountrySong / ArtistBookie
rank
Bookie ¹
hit ratio
1Flag of Sweden 100%
2Flag of Russia 100%
3Flag of Italy 100%
4Flag of Belgium 100%
5Flag of Australia 100%
6Flag of Latvia 67%
7Flag of Estonia 83%
8Flag of Norway 100%
9Flag of Israel 90%
10Flag of Serbia 57%
11Flag of Georgia 79%
12Flag of Azerbaijan 91%
13Flag of Montenegro 50%
14Flag of Slovenia 92%
15Flag of Romania 75%
16Flag of Armenia 100%
17Flag of Albania 81%
18Flag of Lithuania 78%
19Flag of Greece 88%
20Flag of Hungary 89%
21Flag of Spain 25%
22Flag of Cyprus 84%
23Flag of Poland 92%
24Flag of United Kingdom 40%
25Flag of France 86%
26Flag of Austria 92%
27Flag of Germany 100%

¹ Hit-ratio: The percentage deviation between the bookmaker's rank and the songs placement.
The odds were collected right before the Grand Final started.

Semi-final 1

PlaceCountrySong / ArtistBookie
rank
Bookie
correct
1Flag of Russia 
2Flag of Belgium 
3Flag of Estonia 
4Flag of Georgia 
5Flag of Romania 
6Flag of Greece 
7Flag of Armenia 
8Flag of Hungary 
9Flag of Serbia 
10Flag of Albania 
11Flag of Moldova 
12Flag of Belarus 
13Flag of Denmark 
14Flag of Netherlands 
15Flag of FYR Macedonia 
16Flag of Finland 

The bookmakers had odds on which countries from Semi-final 1 would qualify for the Grand Final
The odds were collected right before the Semi-final 1 started.

Semi-final 2

PlaceCountrySong / ArtistBookie
rank
Bookie
correct
1Flag of Sweden 
2Flag of Latvia 
3Flag of Israel 
4Flag of Norway 
5Flag of Slovenia 
6Flag of Cyprus 
7Flag of Lithuania 
8Flag of Poland 
9Flag of Montenegro 
10Flag of Azerbaijan 
11Flag of Malta 
12Flag of Ireland 
13Flag of Czech Republic 
14Flag of Portugal 
15Flag of Iceland 
16Flag of San Marino 
17Flag of Switzerland 

The bookmakers had odds on which countries from Semi-final 2 would qualify for the Grand Final
The odds were collected right before the Semi-final 2 started.

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